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NFL Efficiency- Week 10

After two weeks of no power and internet I can start to get back on a normal schedule with the site. You'll see I added a predicted record column here. The formula I use for this is based on the data I have from 2002-2011. At the end of the season it is a pretty good indicator of actual record but I have no idea how it holds up during the year when things are still in flux, but I thought it might be fun to include and see how it goes. The standard deviation of results is about 1.2 and about 67% of the results were all within that range of error with slightly over 95% coming in within 2 standard deviations.

Here are the team rankings for week 10:

NFL Efficiency Rankings, Thru Week 10

Rank Change Team Scoring Efficiency Defensive Efficiency Total Efficiency Pred. Wins
1 - Denver Broncos  35.33% 18.05% 53.38% 13.0
2 +2 Houston Texans  17.97% 34.40% 52.37% 13.0
3 - Chicago Bears  15.60% 33.20% 48.80% 12.6
4 -2 San Francisco 49ers  5.03% 38.54% 43.57% 12.2
5 +1 Green Bay Packers  37.39% 4.12% 41.51% 11.9
6 -1 New England Patriots  41.37% -0.59% 40.78% 11.8
7 +1 Atlanta Falcons  8.69% 14.34% 23.03% 10.2
8 -1 New York Giants  19.93% 2.59% 22.53% 10.1
9 +3 Baltimore Ravens  18.97% 1.45% 20.42% 9.9
10 -1 Seattle Seahawks  -10.45% 30.45% 20.00% 9.9
11 -1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers  16.69% -3.02% 13.67% 9.3
12 -1 Dallas Cowboys  0.82% 8.11% 8.92% 8.8
13 +7 Minnesota Vikings  3.70% -1.58% 2.12% 8.2
14 -1 Pittsburgh Steelers  -13.91% 14.09% 0.18% 8.0
15 +6 New Orleans Saints  21.32% -23.30% -1.98% 7.8
16 +1 San Diego Chargers  -12.48% 9.24% -3.24% 7.7
17 +1 Washington Redskins  10.35% -15.60% -5.25% 7.5
18 +7 Cincinnati Bengals  7.50% -14.81% -7.31% 7.3
19 - Detroit Lions  11.56% -19.41% -7.85% 7.2
20 +3 St. Louis Rams  -11.59% 2.11% -9.48% 7.1
21 -5 Carolina Panthers  -17.63% 8.07% -9.55% 7.1
22 - Arizona Cardinals  -28.46% 17.06% -11.40% 7.0
23 -8 New York Jets  -4.86% -10.01% -14.88% 6.6
24 +3 Cleveland Browns  -23.80% 3.09% -20.71% 6.1
25 -11 Miami Dolphins  -23.57% 1.65% -21.92% 5.9
26 - Indianapolis Colts  -14.23% -9.59% -23.82% 5.7
27 -3 Philadelphia Eagles  -24.37% -4.22% -28.59% 5.3
28 +1 Tennessee Titans  1.89% -31.27% -29.38% 5.2
29 +2 Buffalo Bills  4.36% -41.99% -37.64% 4.4
30 -2 Oakland Raiders  -6.43% -41.12% -47.55% 3.4
31 +1 Kansas City Chiefs  -35.72% -14.99% -50.71% 3.2
32 -2 Jacksonville Jaguars  -39.26% -15.94% -55.20% 2.8




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